Impact and Scenario Analysis

Many organizations seek to understand the impact of government policies on their organizations or to demonstrate to the public and governments the positive impact their investment decisions will have on the economy.  The C₄SE undertakes impact studies to assist organizations in gaining a better understanding of the impacts of government policies and of their own decisions on the economy.

Forecasts and scenario analyses are often important inputs to the decision-making process in organizations.  The C₄SE produces regular detailed demographic and economic projections for the provinces and metropolitan areas of Canada.  The Centre also works with organizations to prepare forecasts and conduct scenario analyses geared to the organization’s individual needs.  These forecasts may be for a particular geographic area or for a particular organization’s sales.  The projections are prepared using C₄SE economic models, or with models built specifically for an organization’s needs.

• For the Town of Oakville we assessed the importance of business growth on the town’s financial position (2006).
• For the Canadian Automobile Association we assessed the importance of Canada’s roads and highways to Canada’s competitiveness (2006).
• We produced an analysis of the economic impact of various new investment projects for the Ontario government’s Ministry of Economic Development and Trade (2005 and 2006).
• We conducted an analysis of the economic impact at the provincial and sub-provincial level of replacing the existing private auto insurance industry with a government run insurer in Alberta (2005) and in New Brunswick (2004).
• For Industry Canada we determined the impact on Canadian industries from the significant appreciation of the Canadian dollar (2004).